Successful traders do not have a crystal ball.They identify and assess risk and then act accordingly. As 2018 ends and we look forward to 2019, what risks should we concern ourselves with? I am going to concentrate on three main areas of risk for traders in the United States: a continued trade conflict with China, the effect of Brexit on the global economy and stability in the oil producing region of the Middle East specifically with regards to Saudi Arabia. Trade Conflict with China When the current U.S. administration made it clear that there would be a different approach to.
The only certainty about global energy is that the markets will continue to surprise in 2019. The energy business has always been notorious for its ups and downs. This is even more true today when the energy landscape is evolving rapidly. The old order is changing fast as new trade routes emerge, driven by the resurgence of US energy production. That said, there are a few key trends that emerged in 2018 that are likely to set the tone for the year ahead. U.S. Oil Independence The United States was a net exporter of oil and refined products for one week.
The most commonly held definition of a “bear market” in stocks is a 20 percent price decline from peak to trough. Although there are several different index’s one could use to measure, most often people are referring to the Dow Jones industrial average or the S&P 500 index. Traders tend to look at the S&P 500 because it’s far more broad then the Dow 30 and less volatile than the technology heavy Nasdaq 100. Since 1999 there have been three bear markets in the S&P 500. All bear markets are definitely not created equal. The “tech wreck” of 2000 and.
Jack Bouroudjian discusses the factors behind today’s volatility hitting stock markets, and why we should watch the Fed and the yield curve before the end of the year. The post Market Update: What’s Driving the Market? appeared first on OpenMarkets. Source: CME Open Markets – Market Update: What’s Driving the Market?
The equity market slide continued in a big way, including the worst week for the Nasdaq in about a decade. Jack Bouroudjian unpacks it all and looks at what traders should watch to begin 2019. The post Market Update: Getting Ready for 2019 appeared first on OpenMarkets. Source: CME Open Markets – Market Update: Getting Ready for 2019
The recently enacted Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) has made several changes to the tax law. Below we have summarized some of the changes we feel may affect some of our client base, mainly traders and investors. The TCJA suspended all miscellaneous itemized deductions, subject to a 2% floor, for individuals including investment fees and expenses. Therefore, investors are no longer entitled to these investment expenses. An important thing to note is that the TCJA did not change investment-interest expense rules. The itemized deduction is limited to investment income, and any excess is carried forward to subsequent years. The....
An Introduction for Introducing Brokers Security matters, and the NFA and other financial regulators are pushing to help market participants appropriately protect their customers and themselves against cyber threats which could result in stolen data, compromised systems, and the potential theft of funds or other illegal transactions. An Information Systems Security Program (ISSP) is mandated by the NFA & CFTC for futures market participants including FCMs, CTAs and IBs. An ISSP is a written document that describes the actions a Member takes to protect its systems and data against associated risks. It could save your business. NFA guidance allows Members....
OPEC’s decision to cut oil production beginning in January 2019 might have been expected to boost oil-linked currencies, but other factors are taking their toll. The currencies most closely associated with crude oil prices are the Canadian dollar (CAD) and the Russian ruble (RUB), although the former is also heavily influenced by U.S. interest rates. Canadian Dollar Correlation between the CAD and oil has risen in recent months and the loonie has been boosted by a cut in production in Alberta that saw Western Canada Select crude surge more than 70 percent, narrowing its discount to the U.S. benchmark, WTI..